DA Price Forecast
Day-ahead electricity price · DE-LU bidding zone
Forecast Summary
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2026-03-23
Delivery date
24.9
Mean P50 (EUR/MWh)
-3.3 – 46.3
P50 range
70.0
Avg spread (P90–P10)
72-Hour Rolling Forecast
26.3
Early MAE
26.3
Final MAE
0%
Improvement
0.0
Avg revision
Forecast vs Actual — 2026-03-22
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MAE: 46.2 EUR/MWh
Daily Performance (30 days)
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7-day avg MAE: 26.3 EUR/MWh
Hourly Outturn (Recent Days)
Model Performance
15.0
Test MAE
19.5
RMSE
63%
80% coverage
53.6%
Skill score
Top Features
Error Analysis
11.8
Overall MAE
-0.9
Mean bias
19235
Hours analysed
By hour of day
By day of week
By price level
By month
Model: LightGBM (7-quantile) · Training data: SMARD + Energy-Charts + Open-Meteo ·
Methodology